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Cocoa Price Analysis

18-month market overview ยท Real-time data ยท Climate impact analysis

Current
$6,250/MT
+49% YoY
Climate Index
71/100
Good
Peak (Dec 24)
$12,906
-51.6%

Market Signals

Bullish Factors

West African harvest exceeds expectations
Climate forecasts positive for 2025/26 season
Ghana implements new anti-smuggling measures
Sustainable cocoa demand grows in EU markets

Bearish Factors

No significant bearish factors identified

Market Overview

Production
+8.5%
Weather
Favorable
Disease
Moderate
Processing
Stable
Volatility
Declining
Outlook
Stable

Price & Climate Development

Price ($/MT)
Climate Index

Global Production Overview

Ivory Coast
Government raises farmgate prices
stable
2200ktons
38.5%
Ghana
160,000 tons lost to smuggling
declining
800ktons
14%
Ecuador
Production expansion continues
growing
327ktons
5.7%
Cameroon
Farmers combat theft with vigilante groups
stable
290ktons
5.1%
Nigeria
Investment in processing facilities
growing
280ktons
4.9%
Brazil
Focus on sustainable farming
stable
235ktons
4.1%
Indonesia
Farmers switch to palm oil
declining
220ktons
3.8%
Peru
Organic cocoa exports increase
growing
140ktons
2.4%

Recent News

Last 30 days
2025-11-01
Trading Economics

Cocoa futures stabilize at one-year lows

Prices hold steady around $6,250/MT as market finds new equilibrium

2025-10-28
Reuters

West African harvest exceeds expectations

Early season yields in Ivory Coast show 15% increase year-over-year

2025-10-25
Bloomberg

Chocolate makers maintain elevated retail prices

Despite cocoa correction, consumer prices remain high

2025-10-22
ICCO

Climate forecasts positive for 2025/26 season

Meteorological agencies predict favorable conditions for West African growing regions

2025-10-18
Ghana Cocobod

Ghana implements new anti-smuggling measures

Increased patrols and farmer incentives to combat cross-border trade

2025-10-15
Financial Times

Sustainable cocoa demand grows in EU markets

New regulations drive shift towards certified sustainable sources

2025-10-12
AgriCensus

Brazilian cocoa production reaches 5-year high

Bahia region reports record yields amid favorable weather

2025-10-08
CNBC

Cocoa processing margins improve globally

Lower bean costs boost profitability for grinders and manufacturers

2025-10-05
CFTC Report

Investment funds reduce cocoa futures positions

Speculative long positions down 30% from peak levels

2025-10-02
AgriTech Today

CSSVD treatment program shows promising results

New disease management techniques reduce crop losses in Ghana